The Caucus +
Governor · Florida Governor

Jolly vs Donalds

General election · primary Aug 18 · general Nov 3, 2026

Dem David Jolly (D)
Former US representative
VS
Rep Byron Donalds (R)
US representative

How the state votes

Most recent first
2024 president R+13

Polling

12 polls of the current matchup
Average of the last three non-partisan polls
Jolly 43.3 Donalds 47.7 R+4.3
PollsterDatesSample Jolly DonaldsMargin
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Partisan Oct 11 1,200 LV 43.0 49.0 R+6
MDW Communications Oct 10 2,351 LV 44.0 46.0 R+2
Change Research (D)Partisan Oct 10 920 LV 47.0 47.0 Even
Stetson University Oct 9 716 LV 41.0 52.0 R+11
St. Pete Polls Oct 7 836 LV 45.0 45.0 Even
YouGov Oct 5 3,813 LV 45.0 47.0 R+2
Targoz Market Research Oct 4 849 LV 42.0 52.0 R+10
James Madison Institute Oct 4 1,174 LV 42.0 52.0 R+10
Mason-Dixon Oct 1 625 LV 41.0 48.0 R+7
Change Research Sep 28 1,063 LV 48.0 47.0 D+1
Change Research (D)Partisan Sep 27 1,063 LV 48.0 46.0 D+2
Stetson University Sep 21 830 LV 39.0 51.0 R+12
Partisan polls are sponsored by a campaign, party or aligned group and are marked. They are shown because they are part of the record, not because they carry the same weight.