Monday, October 19
506 races · 2,874 candidates
Where every race stands
Ratings for all 435 House seats, 35 Senate races and 36 governorships, plus what the Democrats running have raised and who is spending against them.
The board
All ratings →House
Democrats need 218 of 435
213Before the toss ups
5 short of 218.
21 toss ups. Democrats hold 215 now.
Senate
Democrats need 51 of 100
47Before the toss ups
4 short of 51.
6 toss ups. Democrats hold 47 now.
Governor
50 offices, 36 on the ballot
26Before the toss ups
5 toss ups. Democrats hold 23 now.
The seats that decide the House
21 toss upsWhat moved
Every change-
D Advantage → Expected D
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D Advantage → Expected D
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D Advantage → Expected D
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D Advantage → Expected D
Recent polling
Within six points, in races we rate competitive-
Ohio Senate SpecialActiVote · 400 LV · Oct 18Brown 50.0 Husted 50.0 Even
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Texas GovernorCBS News / YouGov · 1,492 LV · Oct 16Hinojosa 48.0 Abbott 52.0 R+4
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Texas SenateCBS News / YouGov · 1,492 LV · Oct 16Talarico 51.0 Paxton 49.0 D+2
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Texas GovernorUniversity of Houston · 2,000 LV · Oct 14Hinojosa 46.0 Abbott 49.0 R+3
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Texas GovernorActiVote · 400 LV · Oct 14Hinojosa 49.0 Abbott 51.0 R+2
Find publicly released non-partisan and partisan polls on race
pages.
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Lone Star Liberty PAC and 1 other spent against James TalaricoTexas Senate · Oct 19$2.29Magainst
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Freedom Caucus Fund spent against Teresa Benitez-ThompsonNevada 2nd District · Oct 19$114Kagainst
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Progressive Turnout Project spent supporting Abdul El-SayedMichigan Senate · Oct 18$258Ksupporting
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Progressive Turnout Project spent supporting Mitchell BermanWisconsin 1st District · Oct 18$149Ksupporting
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Conservatives for American Excellence spent against Justin J. PearsonTennessee 9th District · Oct 16$713Kagainst
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The Third-Quarter Money in Competitive Senate RacesWhat each campaign raised and spent from July through September, and what is left for the last two weeks2026-10-18 · senate
Looking for a race or a candidate
Every race has a page, as does every Democrat who has raised at least $5,000. Try a name, a state, or a district like PA-10.