Monday, October 19
506 races · 2,874 candidates
Where every race stands
Ratings for all 435 House seats, 35 Senate races and 36 governorships, plus what the Democrats running have raised and who is spending against them.
The board
All ratings →House
Democrats need 218 of 435
213Before the toss ups
5 short of 218.
21 toss ups. Democrats hold 215 now.
Senate
Democrats need 51 of 100
47Before the toss ups
4 short of 51.
6 toss ups. Democrats hold 47 now.
Governor
50 offices, 36 on the ballot
26Before the toss ups
5 toss ups. Democrats hold 23 now.
The seats that decide the House
21 toss upsWhat moved
Every change-
D Advantage → Expected D
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D Advantage → Expected D
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D Advantage → Expected D
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Toss up → D Advantage
Recent polling
Within six points, in races we rate competitive-
Texas GovernorActiVote · 400 LV · Oct 14Hinojosa 49.0 Abbott 51.0 R+2
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Texas SenateActiVote · 400 LV · Oct 14Talarico 52.0 Paxton 48.0 D+4
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Iowa GovernorYouGov · 2,245 LV · Oct 12Sand 50.0 Lahn 44.0 D+6
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Iowa SenateYouGov · 2,245 LV · Oct 12Turek 47.0 Hinson 46.0 D+1
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Iowa SenateMarist University · Oct 11Turek 48.0 Hinson 45.0 D+3
Find publicly released non-partisan and partisan polls on race
pages.
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Freedom Caucus Fund spent against Teresa Benitez-ThompsonNevada 2nd District · Oct 19$114Kagainst
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Americans for Prosperity Action and 3 others spent against Abdul El-SayedMichigan Senate · Oct 16$442Kagainst
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Rjc Victory Fund spent against Bob HarviePennsylvania 1st District · Oct 16$384Kagainst
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Americans for Prosperity Action and 4 others spent against Joshua TurekIowa Senate · Oct 16$236Kagainst
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Growusa spent against Connie ChanCalifornia 11th District · Oct 16$175Kagainst
Latest from The Caucus
Read the newsletter →-
Democrats Could Become the Anti-Death Penalty Party AgainA botched execution in Tennessee and planned livestream has brought the conversation forward2026-10-16 · news -
Republican PACs Pull Funding Back from Races in New Jersey, Iowa, and MoreThe GOP is redirecting money to races where they feel Republicans are more competitive2026-10-16 · news -
Powered By People Is Hitting 22 Texas Campuses Before Election DayBeto O'Rourke's organization has 130+ events scheduled across Texas2026-10-16 · news -
Obama to Campaign in Ohio for Sherrod Brown and Amy ActonThe former president isn't on the campaign trail much anymore, but he won Ohio in 2008 and 20122026-10-15 · news
Looking for a race or a candidate
Every race has a page, as does every Democrat who has raised at least $5,000. Try a name, a state, or a district like PA-10.