The Caucus +
Sign in

Ratings

Where every House, Senate and governor race stands, in seven categories. We move a race when something concrete changes, and the date and the reason are on the race page.

All House Senate Governor

What the ratings add up to

How the seats fall across the seven categories

Senate

Democrats need 51 of 100
Category SeatsD total
Safe D 9 43
Expected D 1 44
D Advantage 3 47
Toss up 5
R Advantage 1
Expected R 2
Safe R 14
No election34 D, 31 R 65
Democrats reach 47 without the toss ups and 52 with all of them, so the majority sits inside the 5.

Held now

47Democratic
47 53
Four of the six races that decide the chamber are toss ups. Democrats have to win essentially all of them.

Senate races by state

Shaded by rating
AK ME VT NH WA ID MT ND MN IL WI NY MA RI OR NV WY SD IA IN MI PA NJ CT CA UT CO NE MO KY OH VA MD DE AZ NM KS AR TN WV NC SC OK LA MS AL GA HI TX FL
Safe D Expected D D Advantage Toss up R Advantage Expected R Safe R Not on the ballot

Every race

35 rated
Expected D 1
R Advantage 1